The fall of world oil prices has created a very complicated situation in Azerbaijan. The Aliyev clan seems to be gradually losing control over the process. The announced reforms and approved restrictions are of more informal character and aim to create an imitation for ordinary Azerbaijanis that the authorities are trying to save the situation. Actually, the authorities are unable to do so, because economic institutions are not stable and were not ready for such a fall of oil prices. Moreover, deceiving the public for years with the legend that Azerbaijan has the region's largest economy, Aliyev has fallen today into his own trap because he can control neither the devaluation of manat nor the ongoing inflation rate.
To get the whole picture of the complexity of the situation in Azerbaijan it is enough to pay attention to two important factors.
It is noteworthy that the situation is so complicated that Aliyev has been unable to use traditional playing card - the threat of war. If in the past during the various grievances and social tension, Aliyev was distracting the public's attention away to the borders with Armenia and Artsakh, threatening the public with a possible war, it is now hard to calm down angry and impoverished Azerbaijani society.
As mentioned earlier, the situation in Azerbaijan is quite complex and unpredictable, including the fate of Aliyev.