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US Presidential Elections: Clinton and Trump have Almost Equal Opportunities

A few days are left till November 8, US presidential elections.  Republican candidate Donald Trump and Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton are now focused on the so-called "controversial" or swing states that will be decisive for the election.

The matter is that in the past decades the most of the states have been distinguished for their clear political views and there is a clear political division of ''Republican'' and ''Democratic'' states.

According to experts, there is no point in spending a lot of money for campaigning in these states. Therefore, presidential candidates spend much of their time and efforts in the states, where the majority of voters are still undecided.

In this regard, Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump pay especially frequent visits to Ohio, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Florida, Nevada, North Carolina.

''To mount a stunning comeback on November 8, Trump must improve his position on the political map,'' a CNN expert writes, ''He must forge ahead in Florida and Ohio, cut his deficit to Clinton in North Carolina, capitalize on an advantage in Iowa, then find a way to put states like New Hampshire and Nevada, that went for Obama in play.''

However, the latest survey conducted by ABC News television together with Washington Post showed that 9 days before the presidential elections, Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton's popularity rate is only 1% higher than the Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump's reputation.

46% of voters were ready to support Clinton, while 45 were in favor of Trump.

The Reuters/IPSOS States of the Nation survey, released 11 days before polling day, shows the Democratic nominee is ahead of Republican candidate Trump among people who have already voted in key swing states such as Ohio and Arizona.

The survey suggests Clinton is likely to win 47 per cent of the overall vote, compared to 40 per cent for Trump. That would give her 320 electoral college votes – taking her over the threshold of the 270 needed to win the White House. Trump would win 174 votes in the electoral college, the analysis suggests.

Another survey data of CNN and ORC Corporation showed that 68 percent of Americans believed Clinton would win while about two months ago, when the previous survey was conducted, 59 percent of respondents thought so. In June, their share was 55 percent.

Interestingly enough, only 35 percent of Americans believe Trump will accept the results of the elections, if he loses, and 61% believe the opposite. Approximately 22 percent of people doubt that Clinton will fail to recognize the results.

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