What Is Behind US-Russia "Power-Game"?
The US faces the issue of strengthening its stance and role on various issues, such as Syrian crisis, Korean crisis, negotiations with Iran etc.
The US faces the issue of strengthening its stance and role on various issues, such as Syrian crisis, Korean crisis, negotiations with Iran etc.
Below let’s refer to the main foreign policy disagreements between Donald Trump and Rex Tillerson based on the statements made by them previously.
What refers to our direct interests, it is interesting to note that in his previous speeches, referring to the Karabakh conflict, John Bolton posited for the US active role in the Karabakh conflict settlement and in the region in general.
The visit of Artsakh President and other high-level officials to the US and the meetings are especially prioritized when considered in the following three levels.
Such a format of cooperation is itself important as long as it is not limited to only ruling parties, but also creates new opportunities for cooperation among the US main two political parties and RA parliamentary parties.
As long as there is possibility for the indirect impact of this "sanction war" on Armenia, we need to be more active to prevent and minimize the possible challenges we can face.
In this context, the rising interest of Bulgarian businessmen to invest in Armenian was especially prioritized, which was first of all conditioned by the membership of Armenia to the EAEU, the EU-Armenia cooperation, as well as the opportunities given by the free economic zones created in Armenia.
Such an approach gives an opportunity to voice about democratic developments in Artsakh thus raising the world’s awareness on it.
Below we will try to compare the US military strategies published in 2018 and 2015, drawing out the main differences.
In 2017, about two dozen delegations visited Artsakh. Delegations included representatives from international organizations (the EU, the International Union of Socialist Youth), parliaments of different countries (Belgium, Portugal, United Kingdom, Canada),
The fact that the number of Congressmen who support Jews is not limited to Jewish Congressmen only has once again been clearly demonstrated, for example, in the case of a draft law ''Israel against Boycott" recently introduced to the US Congress under which 45 Senators and 237 members of the House of Representatives signed.
So, if in reality, the US is not going to suspend the military assistance to the Kurds, what is the disseminated news conditioned by?
Being at the crossroads of the integration processes, we managed to bypass the dilemma, considered to be inevitable in such kind of situations.
The parliaments of Artsakh and Armenia, using their international connections, can conduct targeted work to open the offices of international conflict transformation and humanitarian organizations in Artsakh.
They can do it by bringing new suggestion on the agenda such as signing new trilateral agreement on non-use of force between the sides, or taking the snipers out from the borders.
In parallel to that at various international platforms we should voice about the necessity to have internationally accepted mechanism to calculate the physical and well as psychological damages caused by genocides.
Indeed, the conflict can never get a final resolution, unless the security of the population in Artsakh is insured.
Thus, this new wave of tension in the Russia-US relations can be explained by a number of factors, both domestic and foreign, which are based on the conflict and clash of the political and economic interests and attitudes of internal and external actors.
The US wish to find new allies in the EU can also be explained by Brexit. After losing its loyal ally in the EU, the US administration aims at making new strong partnerships in the Union not to weaken its leverages of influence there.
Aside from the statements made, which sound contradictory at times, it is important to understand at what stage the US-Russia relations currently are and where the present tendencies lead.
. In the context of such aspirations of the current US administration, we will further witness the ongoing active US foreign policy, which can be expanded by including new areas, and our region, in particular.
The analysis of Trump’s main comments addressed to Russia so far demonstrate that in general his team has a positive attitude towards Russia. However it is interesting to note, that it is not the same, when we refer to the statements towards Russia of the representatives of the US defense sphere.
Taking into consideration the so-far demonstrated tendency of Trump’s team in their foreign policy, Armenia, in its relation with the US, should focus on the aspects of cooperation which are of mutual interests for both sides and are not only based on the assistance programs. bilateral
So, if further deepening of Qatar crisis is not largely in the interests of the US, how can one explain such a hard stance of the US President Donald Trump on the issue?
In case when the existing agreements are not fulfilled and the continuous shootings on the borders take human lives, how can one speak about the progress on the negotiation table?
Germany and Austria that are interested in the project "Nord Stream-2", blame the US for interfering the Europe’s internal affairs. According to the existing viewpoint, the US tries to hinder the export of the Russian gas to Europe, in order its European allies use the gas exported from the US instead.
Thus commenting on Trump’s policy towards his European partners, we should note, that there is a clear change in it.
In this case the Armenian sides need to counterbalance the anti-Armenian stance in the international organizations.
The US will continue to preserve it presence in the region deepening bilateral relations with its allies, from whom it will have concrete expectations based on the practical relations by the principle “what for what.”
Such a system is not occasional and was founded by the US founding fathers to let the legislative branch have leverages over judiciary branch.
These elections were obsereved by an unprecedented number of observers, including both international observers and local ones, as well as our compatriots from Diaspora. This means that more representatives of our society develop a sense of civic responsibility, when they feel themselves responsible for the future of the country, without alienating themselves from political processes.
Instead, the elections held in Georgia and Moldova are considered as "competitive and controversial", which is not the case for Armenia. In case of Armenia, as obstacles to the election, vote-buying, the pressure on public servants and employees of private companies, and the general lack of public confidence towards elections are mentioned.
...to fully understand the logic of Trump’s policy towards Russia, it is helpful to get acquainted with the logic of deal-making introduced by Trump in his book entitled "The Art of the Deal'.
The problem started when many media agencies stopped being the defenders of democracy and turned into a tool for different political forces to struggle against each other. The problem, which by the way, is common not only to the US, but to many countries, even the ones, who are considered democratic countries.
At the same time, the US will continue to participate in those formats, which it used to participate previously, such as the Minsk Group format. The US interest to have success stories in the issues where it is directly involved, will increase. This is due to Trump's desire to raise the US rating.
Of course, summing up US-Armenian relations in 2016, we should also talk about the United States' stept taken in the context of Karabakh conflict Settlement as Co-Chair of the Minsk Group.
To raise the productivity of the initiatives in this direction those initiatives should become more coordinated based on concrete mechanism of cooperation. To this can contribute new platforms of cooperation between political parties, or the above mentioned short-term and long-term agendas of cooperation with those political entities.
"In the US-Armenia relations Armenia should be more active imitator. We need to more actively cooperate not only in the existing formats, such as the activities carried on the framework of the Armenia-US Friendship parliamentary groups, but also to create new platforms for cooperation, for example the format for dialogue and cooperation between political parties."
None of the sides can make concession, when he is sure that the opposite side will perceive that as a sign of weakness. Moreover, he will view that as an opportunity to make another blow.
Trump, throughout his campaign was able to make maximum use of the protest voters, successfully playing on the contradictions between the various segments of the population.
If we consider this for the countries, where direct voting applies, such as the Republic of Armenia, we can easily come to a conclusion that the candidate is simply not legitimate.
The present situation and such a behavior of Azerbaijan does not bring honor to the West and its separate countries. It is hard to imagine that founding fathers of the EU and US could see in their worst nightmare that they can serve as a "scapegoat" for a country like Azerbaijan.
If we try to analyze and understand the motives of such a stance by Azerbaijan we should perhaps firstly refer to the permissive policy of the Co-Chairs, in this case of the US, towards Azerbaijan. Such a policy of mediators crossed all the red lines during the April war, when the Co-Chairs closed their eyes on the vivid aggressive, military actions of Azerbaijan.
What does it mean "leaders are not ready" and what are the factors that can determine readiness of the leaders. Of course, those factors are many; however the most important among them can be considered the readiness of the societies.
Involvement of Turkey’s and Russia's resources in the fight against IS corresponds to the logic of the politics in the Middle East adopted by the current US regime, the essence of which is to fight against the radical forces operating there with using its own resources as less as possible.
Notwithstanding the expression found in the sentence "pivotal issues" itself arises number of questions and causes confusion.
Thus as a resulted of awareness-raising of the international community on NKR some changes took place in their perceptions, which cannot but to positively affect the process of NKR international recognition.
If Turkey tries to use its community in Germany as leverage, then will increase the number of those against the visa-free regime with Turkey. Besides it will also impact the process of Turkey’s EU integration – making it even slower.
Otherwise, we will for another time witness how the rights of peaceful residents in the region are subordinated to political interest of superpowers
Viewed from this perspective the recent statement made by the co-chairs at least can be considered hope-inspiring, as they speak about the necessity of the agreement on confidence building measures by the sides.
How can one explain such kind of stance by the US and what consequences can it have?
Only due to NKR Defense Army Azerbaijan got a deserved counter blow which made its expectations and desires reduce immediately and dramatically.
First, the developments in Artsakh in these days became a top subject for such international news websites and television channels, such as Stratfor, France 24, BBC, Euronews, CNN, Reuters, New York Times, Aljazeera and others.
As it was expected, after the event Democrats and Republicans (supporting Trump) started to blame each other for inflicting violence. To try to draw some conclusion and to find explanation to such a violent turnout in the US elections, there are several important factors that must be paid attention
The enumeration of the main tools and the achievements reached so far will allow to estimate their efficiency and to think of other innovative ways that will further deepen cooperation between the two countries.
What does the phenomenon of Trump speak about the internal moods in the US and how does a businessman who has no direct connection with politics and is a "showman", manage to gain the sympathy of the US citizens?
Iowa and New Hampshire traditionally being the first state, where the elections took pace, have the effect of the so-called "first impression" somehow changing the attitude of people towards the elections. The winners in these states are perceived as the ones who are able to mobilize their supporters.
As for the adequate response by the PACE or the Council of Europe in general, then it faces a problem of regaining its reputation on the international arena to first of all prove to its members that none of the CoE bodies can oppose the European common values for the sake of personal interests of its some MPs.
If we try to sum up we are to state that in 2015 the initiatives realized in the economic sphere were important in the long term perspective.
However in its activities referring to these issues the Republic of Armenia should not only have expectations, but also demonstrate its supports. Consequently it is expedient to consider the possibility of Armenia’s involvement in different humanitarian missions.
It is not excluded that after boosting economic cooperation, Iran and Armenia will focus on military cooperation. Taking into consideration common strategic interests of Armenia and Iran in the region, as well as their common position on number of issues, cooperation in military sphere will be more than natural.
The Azerbaijani government further deepens extremist moods in the country making the Azerbaijani society more vulnerable to those moods. Instead of addressing root causes of the problem, Azerbaijani government remains loyal to its policy of repressions, putting the Azerbaijani society in search of alternative methods "to bring morality to politics."
What are for the so-called special security zones declared by the Turkish government, the number of which has exceeded one hundred during the last few weeks of continuing chaos in Turkey? How those security zones are different from the ghettos, known in the history?
Notwithstanding the fact whether the article in reality has became the cause of canceled visit or not, it proves that after the deal Iran feels freer to slam its neighbors and the West in general for their mistakes in the region and is not going to close eyes on their initiatives that is against its interests in the region.
Why is Jeb Bush for tougher policy against Russian president Vladimir Putin, while Trump thinks that he can easily find "common language" with Russian president? Who was among the candidates who still in 2002, before the invasion of the US to Iraq asked the following logical question: "Who is going to run the country if Sadam Hussein is overthrown?"
Are migrants burden or strength for the US further development? Is it better for the US population to have a candidate who is dependent on the rich few or he himself is a representative of those rich few?
Whether the Turkish authorities are able to confront all challenges and become the winner in all three fronts, is too early to say, but the experience has shown that the attempts of the government keeping the public in a cage for concealing the existing problems within the country has been fatal , first of all, for the ruling regime.
If the Azerbaijani government continues to stay loyal to its policies, sooner or later it iwill to be caught by the same trap it has set for its own society, the proof of which is increasing number of Azerbaijanis joining the terrorist organizations in the region.
Each resident of Artsakh is proud to live in free, independent Artsakh Republic, because each of them acknowledge it quite well that it is the reward for their centuries’ long struggle.
Before any estimation on the possibility of Turkish intrusion to Syria is made, it is important to clarify against whom the actions of Turkey in Syria are to be directed
One will ask how the Artsakh Armenians manage to be in the continuous struggle for more than two decades and still not became exhausted. The answer is clear: the fight of the Artsakh people is not limited to these twenty years.
Another important aspect to be underlined from Iran-Armenia official meeting was the reference to the international cooperation between the two countries. This is important because it gives an opportunity to the two countries to reach mutual agreement to support each other in the international organizations they are members by voting for each other or at least by not voting against each other.
The article aims at answering these and many other questions by explain how the campaign finance works in the US. To understand how the campaign finance works in the United States it is important first of all to make distinction among existing methods, contributions are made. The methods in general are divided into two types: Public Financing and Private Financing.
Present non-constructive stance of Turkey towards Armenia, the vivid proof of which is the Armenian-Turkish closed border in the 21st century, the stressed anti-Armenian policy of high-level Turkish officials, as well as the fact that Turkey is unwilling to take a responsibility for Genocide against the Armenians committed by its predecessors, come to prove that the Republic of Armenia cannot have...
As for Kurdish party and their stance on Genocide and Turkish-Armenian relations, here Armenia has work to do as further deepening of the relations between the Kurds and Armenians can be mutually beneficial.
However Azerbaijan did not manage to force its opinion to other EaP partners during the Riga Summit. This shows that both the EU and EaP countries start to realize the key differences between the conflicting/hot zones in the EaP territory.
The picture becomes more interesting if one tries to refer the covert goals Obama pursued during the summit. To be able to delve into the US covert motives to organize the summit with the Gulf States at this period of time one has to analyze the main emphasis Barack Obama made during the meeting.
Recently widely circulating true thesis according to which the 100th anniversary of the Armenian Genocide is a new millstone for the initiatives aiming at the recognition and condemnation of the Genocide received practical realization.
Obama’s both covert and overt motives to organize GCC can be characterized as "preventive" measures aimed at nullifying or at least minimizing possible negative consequences the Iran nuclear deal can have
Thus if one takes into consideration the above mentioned it seems that we have a kind of interesting triangle formed: both Armenia and Russia are going to mutually benefit if Iranian gas is exported to Europe through the EAEU area.
It is to be stated that the EU made a retreat from its role of active advocate of universal values in its statement. What refers to the statements made by OSCE Minsk Group and US State Department, it becomes obvious that the statements were another attempts by them "not to offend" neither of sides instead appearing in "inconvenient " situation using two contradicting theses in their statements.
Should we forget that Obama was the one who openly called 1915 events Genocide when he was still a senator? Second although Obama did not used the word Genocide he was persistent in his wording using Meds Yeghern instead. Were we right initially to make a difference between those two terms? Third, in his 2015 statement Obama made a clear reference to those people who openly recognized the Armenian...
In Turkey we observe strong rift between the opposition and the ruling party.
Thus to conclude it is to be stated that at present stage possibility that Israel will resort to "war of planes" is not high. To do this the Israeli side is to make sure that the benefits it can derive from attacking Iran is higher that the costs it will have to face.
The use of such tools on the eve of upcoming elections proves that revolution against democracy has happened long ago in Turkey, and now in the face of present day Turkey the international community has to face a vivid example of authoritarian regime in the region.
What does stand behind this new diplomatic crisis between Turkey and Iran? What does Turkey aspire by presenting itself with the sharpest stance against Iran in the context of Yemen crisis?
Turkey simply tries to create artificial division between the Armenian Diaspora and Armenian Government.
No matter how "polite" the Turkish approach towards the Armenian Genocide recognition may seem at the first glance, unfortunately they remain on declaratory level only, while the ever-present reality proves just the opposite.
This article aims at conducting post-election comparative analysis of the main ideologies of the above mentioned three leading parties to identify what would be possible scenarios of further developments in Israeli-Palestinian conflict resolution process if the winner of the election was not Likud party but either of the two remaining major parties.
In this situation a question arises: isn't it the appropriate time to undertake concrete measures under the European institutions and its initiatives such as the EU Eastern Partnership, Council of Europe, to reduce the present war rhetoric?
However in order to completely acknowledge the importance and meaning of the resolution we consider it necessary to make more detailed reference to the structure of EPP party, to its role and weight in the EU institution as well as to the main functions of the EPP Political Assembly.
In the long-time perspective Turkey may aim at strengthening its grip on the Kurds not only in Turkey but also in neighboring Syria and Iraq, in case of which Turkey can simultaneously fulfill two goals.
On the eve of the 100th anniversary of the Armenian Genocide escalations on the NKR-Armenia and Armenia-Azerbaijan borders will distract the attention of the international community from Armenian Genocide recognition. This is what Turkish government aims
To put it in a simpler way, by provoking escalations on the borders, Azerbaijan in fact violates the rules of the game in the energy sector established between the West and Azerbaijan.
Within twelve months NKR managed significantly to add the number of its sister cities, for the first time in the European continent a resolution was passed that supported the NKR right of self-determination.
However, even those concrete steps undertaken by the West were not able to make Israel give up the strategy it has employed since the beginning of the conflict, the logic of which is: "The best method to defend is to attack".